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Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

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Showing posts with label intraday trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intraday trading. Show all posts

2025/06/01


EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
  • Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/25

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

XAU/USD Daily and 4H Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

  • Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG rejection and fractal BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/18

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • As we noted last week, gold re-balanced the weekly FVG and reacted. With news due on Wednesday, volume is likely to be low, at least at the start of the week.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Equilibrium
  • Liquidity: Fractal High and Low 
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a Weekly TF but no confirmation. 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 4H FH breakout for long positions

XAU/USD 4H and 1h Chart

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

EUR/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
  • Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
  • Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
  • Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Fractal Low
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

BTC/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
  • Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

BTC/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG, OB & DZ

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

EUR/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
  • Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/04

Gold 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

XAU/USD 4h Chart – 2025 May 04

This 4h pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

  • 1. Market Structure----> Bearish

  • 2. Supply And Demand------> 1 Demand Zone and 1 Supply Zone

  • 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array----> Price on Equilibrium

  • 4. Liquidity-----> No Draw Liquidation

  • 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character-----> There is a CHoCH, but the week closed with a bullish candle

🔎 Key Observations

  • When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply Zone ----> No

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift-----> Yes, but with no continuation

Conclusion: The precious metal does not yet meet the necessary criteria to open a selling position.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/20

EURUSD 15m

EUR/USD – 15m Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

On the 15-minute chart, we observe compression just below the Daily Order Block (D OB), along with a clean BOS and minor liquidity sweeps. This kind of structure often precedes significant moves and provides refined entry opportunities for intraday trades.

The market may induce early shorts or sweep minor lows before shifting structure bullishly. Look for:

  • Short-term liquidity grab (e.g., sweep of a previous low)
  • BOS on the 1m–5m for confirmation
  • Entry with tight SL and RR targeting the break of the D OB
EUR/USD 15m Chart – April 20, 2025

Scalping Plan:

  • Bias: Bullish (with micro confirmation)
  • Entry Zone: Below D OB (post-sweep / inducement)
  • Trigger: BOS + fair value gap / breaker