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XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

XAU/USD Daily and 4H Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

  • Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG rejection and fractal BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

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