EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
• Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
• Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.