EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
• Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

• Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD closed with significant gains on mixed economic news from the US and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve that it is very likely that companies will face shocks of  goods in their warehouses as a result of the tariffs. Cargo container arrivals from China have already fallen by 60%.

This was reflected in the pressure on the dollar throughout the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium
• Liquidity: Equal Highs (EQH) 
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• From inuficiency (FVG) to liquidity (EQH) or the opposite. Liquidity swept allready and then the price rebalinced the FVG (1h TF). If the price continue to take liquidity from EQLHs with volume then maby the pair go to bullish continuation. EQLHs sweping without confirmation could make EURUSD retern to a bearish trend. 

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week unless price break EQLHs cleanly and holds with volume. If price will swep EQLHs and retern to downternd with volume, this will be possibly the start of bearish continuation on a Daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
• Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD 4h TF Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/04

This 4h TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure ---->Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand-----> There are 2 supply zones above, with the 1st already mitigated. So the zone of interest focused on the 2nd one.

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array--> Price hits Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity --> Prices were driven by a fractal liquidity raid from the premium array due to last week's news.

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change Of Character----> A new Supply Zone is formed between 2 FP, showing that Bears are in charge again

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to Sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply zone, as we noticed above, and

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift (the last 4h candle broke the previous low).

The position on the chart should be reviewed when the market opens after the weekend.    

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD 4h Session Analysis 2025/04/28

The market is in a consolidation phase and this will drive the price in one direction. Or first one way and then the other. This week's news will help in this regard. Be patient.....

📈 Current Market Outlook

• Bias: Neutral - Accumulation Face
• Key Support: 
• Key Resistance: 
• Significant Note:

🔎 Key Observations

• Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
• Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

• Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
• Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

• Bias: [Bullish]

• Key Support: As we can see, the Daily range isn't very wide; the LTFs will better inform us.

• Key Resistance: The price reacted from the Demand Zone in the Discount area, but the last daily session never gave us a clear direction and is still in accumulation face. 

• Significant Note: If the price  Breakout the Strong Swing Low, the Daily trend will be Bearish 

🔎 Key Observations

• Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
• Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

• Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
• Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

Here Are The Factors That Could Be Behind The Latest Bitcoin Wipeout

 Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency in the world, has plummeted substantially in the past 24 hours, leading to a ripple effect among other cryptocurrencies. On August 18, the price of BTC suddenly dumped 8% in a matter of minutes, as tension from investors increased selling pressure.

Aug 18, 202315:15 GMT+3

Reuters: Dollar slides after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July

KEY POINTS:

• Biggest single-day dollar slide in three weeks
• Dollar's drop erases almost all the week's gains
• Jobs growth slows but wage gains point to tight market
• Focus now on consumer price index (CPI) next week

The dollar fell on Friday, paring almost all the week's gains, after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July encouraged hopes of a soft economic landing but higher wages suggested the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Cointelegraph: Hong Kong debuts retail crypto trading with HashKey exchange

 Hong Kong debuts retail crypto trading with HashKey exchange

Aug 3, 202310:52 GMT+3

BTCUSDT−0.15%

Hong Kong is expanding cryptocurrency trading exposure to individual investors, with at least one exchange getting the regulatory green light to offer such services.

About Me

Welcome to Stairway To Profit

Embark on a transformative journey into the world of financial markets. Here, I break down complex concepts to help you build a solid foundation in Forex, precious metals like gold and silver, stock indices, and individual stocks.

Through well-researched articles, practical insights, and real-life examples, I aim to equip you with the knowledge and confidence to make smarter trading decisions. Whether you're just starting out or looking to sharpen your strategy, you'll find content tailored to every step of your trading path.

As a solo trader passionate about financial education, I created this blog to share what I've learned, offer guidance, and build a community of like-minded individuals. Ask questions, explore ideas, and stay informed on the latest trends.

I believe that a single person can effectively analyze only 1 to 3 forex pairs, metals, cryptocurrencies, or indices at a time. Therefore, I prioritize analyzing EUR/USD as my main forex pair, and I occasionally focus on DAX 40, BTC/USD, and Gold.

Step by step, let's climb the Stairway To Profit—together.