XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• One might have expected the market to show more interest in precious metal last week, but this did not happen. Not to the same extent as with the EUR/USD, at least.

  
  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Look at the video above

💡 Strategy Bias 

There is a consolidation, and the patients must be prioritized

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

The DXY remains downtrend, and therefore, one would expect the opposite correlation with Gold.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
• Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• As we noted last week, gold re-balanced the weekly FVG and reacted. With news due on Wednesday, volume is likely to be low, at least at the start of the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Equilibrium

• Liquidity: Fractal High and Low 

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a Weekly TF but no confirmation. 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 4H FH breakout for long positions

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
• Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
• Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)

• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

• Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
• Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
• Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

• Bias: [Bullish]

• Key Support: As we can see, the Daily range isn't very wide; the LTFs will better inform us.

• Key Resistance: The price reacted from the Demand Zone in the Discount area, but the last daily session never gave us a clear direction and is still in accumulation face. 

• Significant Note: If the price  Breakout the Strong Swing Low, the Daily trend will be Bearish 

🔎 Key Observations

• Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
• Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

• Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
• Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EURUSD Daily

EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

Top-down analysis starting from the daily chart. The market continues to move within the premium trading range, bouncing between the supply zone (D_SZ) and the Daily FVG.

The rebalancing of the FVG successfully pushed price back up, placing the market within a favorable zone for long setups. Volume was absorbed at the first bullish order block, which was confirmed and followed by the formation of a second one.

This second order block, if broken to the upside, gives us a solid opportunity to enter long trades with increased confidence, targeting the Monthly Fractal High (MFH).

Key Technicals:

• Bias: Bullish
• Structure: Premium range + bullish OB
• Opportunity: Longs above second OB
• Target: MFH (Monthly Fractal High)

Stay tuned for the upcoming 4H and 15m breakdowns for tighter entries and confirmation zones.