At Stairway To Profit, we go beyond basic trading tips. Each week, we publish actionable analysis on major markets like EUR/USD, XAU/USD (Gold), Indices (GER30, US100), and Crypto (BTC/USD).

Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

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2025/06/01


EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
  • Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/25

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

XAU/USD Daily and 4H Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

  • Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG rejection and fractal BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
  • Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Fractal Low
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

BTC/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
  • Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

BTC/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG, OB & DZ

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/04/27

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

EUR/USD Daily Chart – 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: [Bullish]

  • Key Support: As we can see, the Daily range isn't very wide; the LTFs will better inform us.

  • Key Resistance: The price reacted from the Demand Zone in the Discount area, but the last daily session never gave us a clear direction and is still in accumulation face. 

  • Significant Note: If the price  Breakout the Strong Swing Low, the Daily trend will be Bearish 

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/20

EURUSD Daily

EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

Top-down analysis starting from the daily chart. The market continues to move within the premium trading range, bouncing between the supply zone (D_SZ) and the Daily FVG.

The rebalancing of the FVG successfully pushed price back up, placing the market within a favorable zone for long setups. Volume was absorbed at the first bullish order block, which was confirmed and followed by the formation of a second one.

This second order block, if broken to the upside, gives us a solid opportunity to enter long trades with increased confidence, targeting the Monthly Fractal High (MFH).

EUR/USD Daily Chart – April 20, 2025

Key Technicals:

  • Bias: Bullish
  • Structure: Premium range + bullish OB
  • Opportunity: Longs above second OB
  • Target: MFH (Monthly Fractal High)

Stay tuned for the upcoming 4H and 15m breakdowns for tighter entries and confirmation zones.