XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• One might have expected the market to show more interest in precious metal last week, but this did not happen. Not to the same extent as with the EUR/USD, at least.

  
  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Look at the video above

💡 Strategy Bias 

There is a consolidation, and the patients must be prioritized

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

The DXY remains downtrend, and therefore, one would expect the opposite correlation with Gold.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
• Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)

• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

• Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
• Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Fractal Low

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
• Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

Gold 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

This 4h pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure----> Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand------> 1 Demand Zone and 1 Supply Zone

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array----> Price on Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity-----> No Draw Liquidation

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character-----> There is a CHoCH, but the week closed with a bullish candle

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply Zone ----> No

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift-----> Yes, but with no continuation

Conclusion: The precious metal does not yet meet the necessary criteria to open a selling position.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

Here Are The Factors That Could Be Behind The Latest Bitcoin Wipeout

 Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency in the world, has plummeted substantially in the past 24 hours, leading to a ripple effect among other cryptocurrencies. On August 18, the price of BTC suddenly dumped 8% in a matter of minutes, as tension from investors increased selling pressure.

Aug 18, 202315:15 GMT+3

Reuters: Dollar slides after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July

KEY POINTS:

• Biggest single-day dollar slide in three weeks
• Dollar's drop erases almost all the week's gains
• Jobs growth slows but wage gains point to tight market
• Focus now on consumer price index (CPI) next week

The dollar fell on Friday, paring almost all the week's gains, after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July encouraged hopes of a soft economic landing but higher wages suggested the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer.

About Me

Welcome to Stairway To Profit

Embark on a transformative journey into the world of financial markets. Here, I break down complex concepts to help you build a solid foundation in Forex, precious metals like gold and silver, stock indices, and individual stocks.

Through well-researched articles, practical insights, and real-life examples, I aim to equip you with the knowledge and confidence to make smarter trading decisions. Whether you're just starting out or looking to sharpen your strategy, you'll find content tailored to every step of your trading path.

As a solo trader passionate about financial education, I created this blog to share what I've learned, offer guidance, and build a community of like-minded individuals. Ask questions, explore ideas, and stay informed on the latest trends.

I believe that a single person can effectively analyze only 1 to 3 forex pairs, metals, cryptocurrencies, or indices at a time. Therefore, I prioritize analyzing EUR/USD as my main forex pair, and I occasionally focus on DAX 40, BTC/USD, and Gold.

Step by step, let's climb the Stairway To Profit—together.