📉 GBP/USD (GU) Weekly Outlook – July 15–19, 2025

🔍 Price Enters Extreme Discount – Bounce or Breakdown?

After a clean break in structure and multiple bearish rejections, GBP/USD has entered extreme discount territory. Price is now testing a high-probability reaction zone near the weak low around 1.3440.

---

📊 Key Technical Zones:

• 🔻 Weak Low: 1.3440

• 🔵 1H OB (HP) below weak low: Potential liquidity draw

• 🔺 Retracement Targets:

  • 0.25 = 1.3500

  • 0.50 = 1.3535

  • 0.75 = 1.3575

• 🟥 FVG resistance zone: 1.3575–1.3600

• 🧲 Draw on liquidity: Sub 1.3440 or PDH rejection area

---

🧠 Base Case:

📈 Expecting a short-term bullish reaction from the extreme discount zone
📉 Bias remains bearish overall unless structure shifts decisively

---

🎯 Weekly Trade Plan:

• ✅ Plan A: Watch for bullish CHoCH near 1.3440–1.3450

  • TP1: 1.3500

  • TP2: 1.3535–1.3575

• 🔁 Plan B: If price sweeps lower into OB (below 1.3440) → Look for bullish structure shift on LTF

• ❌ Invalidation: Sustained break and close below 1.3425 → opens path toward 1.3360s

---

📌 Price is deep into discount, but without confirmation there is no trade. Patience for reaction setups is key.