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Showing posts with label 4h analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 4h analysis. Show all posts

2025/06/01


EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
  • Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/12

BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

BTC/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

  • Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

BTC/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup after iBOS because of tarrifs news between US and China

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

BTC/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
  • Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

BTC/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG, OB & DZ

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

EUR/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
  • Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/04

EUR/USD 4h TF Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/04

EUR/USD Weekly Chart – 2025/05/04

This 4h TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

  • 1. Market Structure ---->Bearish
  • 2. Supply And Demand-----> There are 2 supply zones above, with the 1st already mitigated. So the zone of interest focused on the 2nd one.

  • 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array--> Price hits Equilibrium

  • 4. Liquidity --> Prices were driven by a fractal liquidity raid from the premium array due to last week's news.

  • 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change Of Character----> A new Supply Zone is formed between 2 FP, showing that Bears are in charge again

🔎 Key Observations

  • When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to Sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply zone, as we noticed above, and

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift (the last 4h candle broke the previous low).

The position on the chart should be reviewed when the market opens after the weekend.    

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/28

EUR/USD 4h Session Analysis 2025/04/28

EUR/USD Weekly Chart – 2025/04/28

The market is in a consolidation phase and this will drive the price in one direction. Or first one way and then the other. This week's news will help in this regard. Be patient.....

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: Neutral - Accumulation Face
  • Key Support: 
  • Key Resistance: 
  • Significant Note:

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/27

EUR/USD 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: Bearish -Pullback Face
  • Key Support: 4h Supply Zone
  • Key Resistance: 4h Demand Zone
  • Significant Note: Theoretically, we expect the strong 4h swing low to hold as we noted in the daily TF for the D SL(S).

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps: Fractal Liquidity Raid helped the price bullish reaction but the bears were in charge again and the price made relevant Equal Lows (EQL) with enough liquidity below them.
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones: Sweep lqd on EQL - 4h FH

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout)--> For bullish positions, after the breakout of 4h FH or 4h IS(S)for more conservative positions. For bearish positions, be patient.
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)--->Tight SL and risk management as it suits you

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/20

EURUSD 4H

EUR/USD – 4H Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

On the 4-hour chart, we have a clearly defined Zone of Interest (4H DZ) just below the daily order block (D OB).

After the recent upward move, a pullback is very likely before the price attempts a breakout above the daily bullish order block. This 4H DZ provides an ideal area for potential long entries, especially if lower timeframes offer confirmation (e.g., BOS, inducement, or rejection patterns).

EUR/USD 4H Chart – April 20, 2025

Key Technicals:

  • Bias: Bullish
  • Zone: 4H Demand Zone below D OB
  • Trigger: Pullback to 4H DZ with LTF confirmation
  • Target: Break of D OB → Continuation toward MFH

Confluence with Daily structure enhances the reliability of this zone. Ideal setup for traders seeking tighter entries with solid risk-reward potential.