At Stairway To Profit, we go beyond basic trading tips. Each week, we publish actionable analysis on major markets like EUR/USD, XAU/USD (Gold), Indices (GER30, US100), and Crypto (BTC/USD).

Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

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Trump Tariffs Are Back: What It Means for Markets in 2025

Trump's New Tariff Strategy in 2025 In a move that echoes his first term in office, former President Donald Trump has reintroduced a ne...

Showing posts with label world economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label world economy. Show all posts

2025/05/12

BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

BTC/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

  • Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

BTC/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup after iBOS because of tarrifs news between US and China

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2023/08/07

Reuters: Dollar slides after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July

KEY POINTS:

  • Biggest single-day dollar slide in three weeks
  • Dollar's drop erases almost all the week's gains
  • Jobs growth slows but wage gains point to tight market
  • Focus now on consumer price index (CPI) next week

The dollar fell on Friday, paring almost all the week's gains, after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July encouraged hopes of a soft economic landing but higher wages suggested the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer.

2023/08/06

Cointelegraph: Hong Kong debuts retail crypto trading with HashKey exchange

 Hong Kong debuts retail crypto trading with HashKey exchange

Aug 3, 202310:52 GMT+3

BTCUSDT−0.15%


Hong Kong is expanding cryptocurrency trading exposure to individual investors, with at least one exchange getting the regulatory green light to offer such services.

2023/08/03

Reuters: Perth Mint's July gold, silver sales slump to lowest since 2020

Reuters
 
Perth Mint's July gold, silver sales slump to lowest since 2020
Aug 3, 202311:42 GMT+3
GOLD+0.15%XAGUSD1!−0.71%

 

Perth Mint's July gold product sales slumped to their lowest level since October 2020, while silver sales were at a more than three-year low, the refiner said on Thursday, citing a slowdown in demand as prices surged.