XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• One might have expected the market to show more interest in precious metal last week, but this did not happen. Not to the same extent as with the EUR/USD, at least.

  
  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Look at the video above

💡 Strategy Bias 

There is a consolidation, and the patients must be prioritized

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

The DXY remains downtrend, and therefore, one would expect the opposite correlation with Gold.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

• Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD closed with significant gains on mixed economic news from the US and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve that it is very likely that companies will face shocks of  goods in their warehouses as a result of the tariffs. Cargo container arrivals from China have already fallen by 60%.

This was reflected in the pressure on the dollar throughout the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium
• Liquidity: Equal Highs (EQH) 
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• From inuficiency (FVG) to liquidity (EQH) or the opposite. Liquidity swept allready and then the price rebalinced the FVG (1h TF). If the price continue to take liquidity from EQLHs with volume then maby the pair go to bullish continuation. EQLHs sweping without confirmation could make EURUSD retern to a bearish trend. 

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week unless price break EQLHs cleanly and holds with volume. If price will swep EQLHs and retern to downternd with volume, this will be possibly the start of bearish continuation on a Daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• As we noted last week, gold re-balanced the weekly FVG and reacted. With news due on Wednesday, volume is likely to be low, at least at the start of the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Equilibrium

• Liquidity: Fractal High and Low 

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a Weekly TF but no confirmation. 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 4H FH breakout for long positions

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
• Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
• Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

Gold 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

This 4h pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure----> Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand------> 1 Demand Zone and 1 Supply Zone

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array----> Price on Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity-----> No Draw Liquidation

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character-----> There is a CHoCH, but the week closed with a bullish candle

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply Zone ----> No

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift-----> Yes, but with no continuation

Conclusion: The precious metal does not yet meet the necessary criteria to open a selling position.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD 4h TF Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/04

This 4h TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure ---->Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand-----> There are 2 supply zones above, with the 1st already mitigated. So the zone of interest focused on the 2nd one.

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array--> Price hits Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity --> Prices were driven by a fractal liquidity raid from the premium array due to last week's news.

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change Of Character----> A new Supply Zone is formed between 2 FP, showing that Bears are in charge again

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to Sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply zone, as we noticed above, and

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift (the last 4h candle broke the previous low).

The position on the chart should be reviewed when the market opens after the weekend.    

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

Reuters: Dollar slides after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July

KEY POINTS:

• Biggest single-day dollar slide in three weeks
• Dollar's drop erases almost all the week's gains
• Jobs growth slows but wage gains point to tight market
• Focus now on consumer price index (CPI) next week

The dollar fell on Friday, paring almost all the week's gains, after slowing U.S. jobs growth in July encouraged hopes of a soft economic landing but higher wages suggested the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer.

About Me

Welcome to Stairway To Profit

Embark on a transformative journey into the world of financial markets. Here, I break down complex concepts to help you build a solid foundation in Forex, precious metals like gold and silver, stock indices, and individual stocks.

Through well-researched articles, practical insights, and real-life examples, I aim to equip you with the knowledge and confidence to make smarter trading decisions. Whether you're just starting out or looking to sharpen your strategy, you'll find content tailored to every step of your trading path.

As a solo trader passionate about financial education, I created this blog to share what I've learned, offer guidance, and build a community of like-minded individuals. Ask questions, explore ideas, and stay informed on the latest trends.

I believe that a single person can effectively analyze only 1 to 3 forex pairs, metals, cryptocurrencies, or indices at a time. Therefore, I prioritize analyzing EUR/USD as my main forex pair, and I occasionally focus on DAX 40, BTC/USD, and Gold.

Step by step, let's climb the Stairway To Profit—together.