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XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
  • Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Fractal Low
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

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