At Stairway To Profit, we go beyond basic trading tips. Each week, we publish actionable analysis on major markets like EUR/USD, XAU/USD (Gold), Indices (GER30, US100), and Crypto (BTC/USD).

Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

New to the blog? Explore our dedicated pages for: Forex, Indices, Crypto, or check the Terms of Use.

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Showing posts with label metals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label metals. Show all posts

2025/06/02

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • One might have expected the market to show more interest in precious metal last week, but this did not happen. Not to the same extent as with the EUR/USD, at least.



🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Look at the video above

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

There is a consolidation, and the patients must be prioritized

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

The DXY remains downtrend, and therefore, one would expect the opposite correlation with Gold.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/18

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • As we noted last week, gold re-balanced the weekly FVG and reacted. With news due on Wednesday, volume is likely to be low, at least at the start of the week.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Equilibrium
  • Liquidity: Fractal High and Low 
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a Weekly TF but no confirmation. 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 4H FH breakout for long positions

XAU/USD 4H and 1h Chart

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
  • Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Fractal Low
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/04

Gold 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

XAU/USD 4h Chart – 2025 May 04

This 4h pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

  • 1. Market Structure----> Bearish

  • 2. Supply And Demand------> 1 Demand Zone and 1 Supply Zone

  • 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array----> Price on Equilibrium

  • 4. Liquidity-----> No Draw Liquidation

  • 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character-----> There is a CHoCH, but the week closed with a bullish candle

🔎 Key Observations

  • When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply Zone ----> No

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift-----> Yes, but with no continuation

Conclusion: The precious metal does not yet meet the necessary criteria to open a selling position.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2023/07/24

About Me

Welcome to Stairway To Profit

Embark on a transformative journey into the world of financial markets. Here, I break down complex concepts to help you build a solid foundation in Forex, precious metals like gold and silver, stock indices, and individual stocks.

Through well-researched articles, practical insights, and real-life examples, I aim to equip you with the knowledge and confidence to make smarter trading decisions. Whether you're just starting out or looking to sharpen your strategy, you'll find content tailored to every step of your trading path.

As a solo trader passionate about financial education, I created this blog to share what I've learned, offer guidance, and build a community of like-minded individuals. Ask questions, explore ideas, and stay informed on the latest trends.

I believe that a single person can effectively analyze only 1 to 3 forex pairs, metals, cryptocurrencies, or indices at a time. Therefore, I prioritize analyzing EUR/USD as my main forex pair, and I occasionally focus on DAX 40, BTC/USD, and Gold.

Step by step, let's climb the Stairway To Profit—together.