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Showing posts with label eurusd. Show all posts
Showing posts with label eurusd. Show all posts

2025/06/01


EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/06/02

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/06/02

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week with gains. The Fed chairman's speech on Monday will define the markets' move in the upcoming week. 

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply Zone 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone 
  • Liquidity: Relevant Equal Highs above and unmitigated zones (FVGs) below
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Strong reversal on a 1h TF.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: At least in the Equilibrium area for longs.

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term downtrend, supporting the bullishness on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/25

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

EUR/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD closed with significant gains on mixed economic news from the US and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve that it is very likely that companies will face shocks of  goods in their warehouses as a result of the tariffs. Cargo container arrivals from China have already fallen by 60%.

This was reflected in the pressure on the dollar throughout the week.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium
  • Liquidity: Equal Highs (EQH) 
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • From inuficiency (FVG) to liquidity (EQH) or the opposite. Liquidity swept allready and then the price rebalinced the FVG (1h TF). If the price continue to take liquidity from EQLHs with volume then maby the pair go to bullish continuation. EQLHs sweping without confirmation could make EURUSD retern to a bearish trend. 

EUR/USD 4H - 1H Chart –

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week unless price break EQLHs cleanly and holds with volume. If price will swep EQLHs and retern to downternd with volume, this will be possibly the start of bearish continuation on a Daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bearish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bullish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/18

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

EUR/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
  • Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
  • Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

EUR/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
  • Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

EUR/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart showing bullish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bearish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/04

EUR/USD 4h TF Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/04

EUR/USD Weekly Chart – 2025/05/04

This 4h TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

  • 1. Market Structure ---->Bearish
  • 2. Supply And Demand-----> There are 2 supply zones above, with the 1st already mitigated. So the zone of interest focused on the 2nd one.

  • 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array--> Price hits Equilibrium

  • 4. Liquidity --> Prices were driven by a fractal liquidity raid from the premium array due to last week's news.

  • 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change Of Character----> A new Supply Zone is formed between 2 FP, showing that Bears are in charge again

🔎 Key Observations

  • When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to Sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply zone, as we noticed above, and

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift (the last 4h candle broke the previous low).

The position on the chart should be reviewed when the market opens after the weekend.    

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/28

EUR/USD 4h Session Analysis 2025/04/28

EUR/USD Weekly Chart – 2025/04/28

The market is in a consolidation phase and this will drive the price in one direction. Or first one way and then the other. This week's news will help in this regard. Be patient.....

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: Neutral - Accumulation Face
  • Key Support: 
  • Key Resistance: 
  • Significant Note:

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/27

EUR/USD 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

EUR/USD 4h Chart – 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: Bearish -Pullback Face
  • Key Support: 4h Supply Zone
  • Key Resistance: 4h Demand Zone
  • Significant Note: Theoretically, we expect the strong 4h swing low to hold as we noted in the daily TF for the D SL(S).

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps: Fractal Liquidity Raid helped the price bullish reaction but the bears were in charge again and the price made relevant Equal Lows (EQL) with enough liquidity below them.
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones: Sweep lqd on EQL - 4h FH

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout)--> For bullish positions, after the breakout of 4h FH or 4h IS(S)for more conservative positions. For bearish positions, be patient.
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)--->Tight SL and risk management as it suits you

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/04/27

EUR/USD Daily Chart – 2025/04/27

This week's pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on price structure, liquidity zones, and momentum shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

  • Bias: [Bullish]

  • Key Support: As we can see, the Daily range isn't very wide; the LTFs will better inform us.

  • Key Resistance: The price reacted from the Demand Zone in the Discount area, but the last daily session never gave us a clear direction and is still in accumulation face. 

  • Significant Note: If the price  Breakout the Strong Swing Low, the Daily trend will be Bearish 

🔎 Key Observations

  • Order blocks and liquidity sweeps
  • Potential breakout or fakeout zones

🎯 Strategy Overview

  • Preferred trading setup (Breakout/Pullback)
  • Risk management focus (SL placement)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

2025/04/20

EURUSD 15m

EUR/USD – 15m Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

On the 15-minute chart, we observe compression just below the Daily Order Block (D OB), along with a clean BOS and minor liquidity sweeps. This kind of structure often precedes significant moves and provides refined entry opportunities for intraday trades.

The market may induce early shorts or sweep minor lows before shifting structure bullishly. Look for:

  • Short-term liquidity grab (e.g., sweep of a previous low)
  • BOS on the 1m–5m for confirmation
  • Entry with tight SL and RR targeting the break of the D OB
EUR/USD 15m Chart – April 20, 2025

Scalping Plan:

  • Bias: Bullish (with micro confirmation)
  • Entry Zone: Below D OB (post-sweep / inducement)
  • Trigger: BOS + fair value gap / breaker

EURUSD 4H

EUR/USD – 4H Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

On the 4-hour chart, we have a clearly defined Zone of Interest (4H DZ) just below the daily order block (D OB).

After the recent upward move, a pullback is very likely before the price attempts a breakout above the daily bullish order block. This 4H DZ provides an ideal area for potential long entries, especially if lower timeframes offer confirmation (e.g., BOS, inducement, or rejection patterns).

EUR/USD 4H Chart – April 20, 2025

Key Technicals:

  • Bias: Bullish
  • Zone: 4H Demand Zone below D OB
  • Trigger: Pullback to 4H DZ with LTF confirmation
  • Target: Break of D OB → Continuation toward MFH

Confluence with Daily structure enhances the reliability of this zone. Ideal setup for traders seeking tighter entries with solid risk-reward potential.

EURUSD Daily

EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis | April 20, 2025

Top-down analysis starting from the daily chart. The market continues to move within the premium trading range, bouncing between the supply zone (D_SZ) and the Daily FVG.

The rebalancing of the FVG successfully pushed price back up, placing the market within a favorable zone for long setups. Volume was absorbed at the first bullish order block, which was confirmed and followed by the formation of a second one.

This second order block, if broken to the upside, gives us a solid opportunity to enter long trades with increased confidence, targeting the Monthly Fractal High (MFH).

EUR/USD Daily Chart – April 20, 2025

Key Technicals:

  • Bias: Bullish
  • Structure: Premium range + bullish OB
  • Opportunity: Longs above second OB
  • Target: MFH (Monthly Fractal High)

Stay tuned for the upcoming 4H and 15m breakdowns for tighter entries and confirmation zones.