XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

• Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD closed with significant gains on mixed economic news from the US and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve that it is very likely that companies will face shocks of  goods in their warehouses as a result of the tariffs. Cargo container arrivals from China have already fallen by 60%.

This was reflected in the pressure on the dollar throughout the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: Supply 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium
• Liquidity: Equal Highs (EQH) 
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• From inuficiency (FVG) to liquidity (EQH) or the opposite. Liquidity swept allready and then the price rebalinced the FVG (1h TF). If the price continue to take liquidity from EQLHs with volume then maby the pair go to bullish continuation. EQLHs sweping without confirmation could make EURUSD retern to a bearish trend. 

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week unless price break EQLHs cleanly and holds with volume. If price will swep EQLHs and retern to downternd with volume, this will be possibly the start of bearish continuation on a Daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• As we noted last week, gold re-balanced the weekly FVG and reacted. With news due on Wednesday, volume is likely to be low, at least at the start of the week.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Equilibrium

• Liquidity: Fractal High and Low 

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a Weekly TF but no confirmation. 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 4H FH breakout for long positions

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/18

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The pair did react last week, but it was more of an upward pullback that didn't seem to continue.

On the daily chart, the pair appears to be in an accumulation phase and until we have a break of either the FH or FL, it is not wise to open positions between the two fractals.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily TF
• Supply & Demand: A major Demand Zone below 
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium Zone on the Daily and Weekly TF
• Liquidity: Friday's low showed a break of the consolidation zone to BSLQ
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• The consolidation breakdown will be tested in 4h OB to see if it is fake or real.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB inside 4h OB

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.1263 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. 

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)

• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

• Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

GER30 Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for GER30. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The GER30 closed last week on a bullish note following stronger than expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains neutral as markets await the upcoming release of US CPI and US PPI figures.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Consolidation

• Supply & Demand: ------------ 

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium

• Liquidity: Grab liquidity from BSLQ but there is a lot of Inducement (4h TF)

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Not at this moment 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A consolidation between the 2 fractal points.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week . If price consolidates near the current zone, just like this moment, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

EURUSD remains in a downtrend, supporting the bullish momentum on GER30. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD Indicies.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
• Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Fractal Low

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
• Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD pair closed last week under bearish pressure following stronger-than-expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains bearish as markets await the upcoming US CPI release and US PPI numbers.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A major DZ below on a DTF and a SZ on a 4hTF that pushed price lower as a bearish continuation.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price reacts in equilibrium and returns to a Discount Zone on the Daily and 4hTF
• Liquidity: Friday’s high triggered resting liquidity and pushed the price lower
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and a downtrend continuation until the price mitigates the Demand Zone looks logical.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A consolidation between the 2 fractal points (1.12930 - 1.11968) is more likely. The existing 4H FVG is an element that could help in this direction.

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bearish for the week unless price reclaims 1.12930 cleanly and holds with volume. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on EUR/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

Trump Tariffs Are Back: What It Means for Markets in 2025

Trump's New Tariff Strategy in 2025

In a move that echoes his first term in office, former President Donald Trump has reintroduced a new wave of tariffs targeting Chinese imports and other key trade partners. The announcement, which includes proposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 60% on various categories, including electric vehicles, solar panels, and semiconductors, has sent ripples through global financial markets.

Gold 15m Session Analysis Updated | 2025 May 05

This 15m pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

Gold 4h Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

This 4h pre-session analysis for GOLD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure----> Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand------> 1 Demand Zone and 1 Supply Zone

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array----> Price on Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity-----> No Draw Liquidation

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character-----> There is a CHoCH, but the week closed with a bullish candle

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply Zone ----> No

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift-----> Yes, but with no continuation

Conclusion: The precious metal does not yet meet the necessary criteria to open a selling position.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD 15m Pre-Session Analysis | 2025 May 04

This 15m TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure------> Bearish Alligned with 4h TF

• 2. Supply and Demand-----> 2 Supply Zones above. The second one is in Equilibrium

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array ------> Discount Array

• 4. Liquidity------> FLQR on BSLQ (The $ mark)

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change of Character------> A new Supply zone formed between FH and ChoCH

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply/Demand Zone

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift

Both of them were on Friday's NY session, and the price actually hit the limit order. So, the position is only for a case study rather than a true limit order.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

EUR/USD 4h TF Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/04

This 4h TF pre-session analysis for EUR/USD provides key technical insights and trading setups based on market structure, supply and demand areas, liquidity zones, and fractal market shifts.

📈 Current Market Outlook

Contributions

• 1. Market Structure ---->Bearish

• 2. Supply And Demand-----> There are 2 supply zones above, with the 1st already mitigated. So the zone of interest focused on the 2nd one.

• 3. Fibo Equilibrium or Premium-Discount Array--> Price hits Equilibrium

• 4. Liquidity --> Prices were driven by a fractal liquidity raid from the premium array due to last week's news.

• 5. Fractal Structure Shift or Change Of Character----> A new Supply Zone is formed between 2 FP, showing that Bears are in charge again

🔎 Key Observations

• When Is The Market Ready To Sell ????

🎯 Strategy Overview

2 Points we need to understand when the market is ready to Sell

       1. We need an area of liquidity, or a Supply zone, as we noticed above, and

       2. We need a CHoCh ---> Fractal Structure Shift (the last 4h candle broke the previous low).

The position on the chart should be reviewed when the market opens after the weekend.    

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.