BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)

• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

• Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.