🧭 EUR/USD – Intraday Long Setup Analysis (August 3, 2025)

🎯 Key Level of Interest: 1.14863 (0.25 retracement of the DRH → DRL move)

We're currently watching the 1.1486 area, which aligns with:

• A clearly defined Bullish Order Block (OB) to the left

• Multiple inverted Fair Value Gaps (iFVGs) providing liquidity voids

• A key retracement level (0.25) of the most recent impulsive leg

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🔍 Technical Context:

✅ 1. Market Structure Shift:

• A Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) was confirmed

• Multiple ChoCHs (Change of Character) to the upside

• Structure is now bullish on both M15 and H4 charts

✅ 2. Liquidity Sweep & Strong Rejection:

• The move from 1.1391 (DRL TYPE 2) swept key liquidity and created a Strong Low

• The fast move upward shows potential reaccumulation

✅ 3. OB + FVG Confluence:

• The 1.1486 area aligns perfectly with a refined bullish OB

• Multiple iFVGs stack up right around the same region — a strong high-probability support zone

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⚠️ Risks to Watch:

• Price is now near the NY PM session high, labeled as a Weak High — possible reaction there

• If that high holds, we may get a pullback into the OB zone for mitigation

• Invalidation occurs on a clean break below 1.1447 (PDH) or especially under 1.1391

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🧠 Trade Setup Idea:

Parameter	Value
Entry Zone	1.1486 – 1.1475
Stop Loss	Below 1.1440
TP1	1.1580 (Weak High)
TP2	1.1638 (0.75 retracement level)
Risk:Reward	Approx. 1:3 to 1:4

Confirmation Trigger: Bullish reaction or lower timeframe ChoCH (5min or 1min) at the 1.1486 zone.

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🔑 Summary:

If price pulls back into the 1.1486 bullish zone and shows a reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wick, LTF ChoCH), a long setup becomes high probability. Confluences from OB, FVG, retracement, and market structure support the bias.