XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

• It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
• Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

• Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 

• Liquidity: Fractal Low

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

📌 Related Analyses

• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

BTC/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  

BTCUSD is not used to bouncing when it is so close to BSLQ, but if it does, it will be an opportunity to open a buying position. Ideally, a return to the EQL (99.200) or even the ZOI - Demand Zone, would provide buying opportunities.

4h Overview 

Here we see that the conditions have been created for the BSLQ to grab liquidity and then continue its uptrend. It will depend which FP will break first. The bullish one or the bearish one.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Boullish on Daily and 4h TF
• Supply & Demand: A SZ on a DTF which maybe facilitate a pull back early in the the week.
• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array
• Liquidity: Plenty on both sides
• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment, and an uptrend continuation until the price reaches the previous high (190.349) seems possible.  

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bullish OB +DZ + FVG reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains bullish for the week. If price consolidates near the current zone, breakout setups will be invalidated.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Outlook
• Indices Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.