BTC/USD 4h Session Analysis | 2025/05/12

Welcome to this 4h session analysis for BTC/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

Daily Overview  (Updated)

Finally, as we noted, the inducement did not leave sellers unmoved. The agreement between the US and China on tariffs for a specific quota helped. After a Fractal Liquidity Raid (FLQR), the price shifted to the downside.

4h Overview (Updated)

On a 4h TF after the internal break of the structure (iBOS), the trend has shifted to the downside, and a new supply zone has been formed, where sellers can open short positions after a confirmation in LTF.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Shifted Bearish. From Liquidity (FLQR) to Inefficiency (4h FVG)

• Supply & Demand: Supply Zone has been formed

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Price is on Premium Array

• Liquidity: Liquidity swept in both TFs

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH:  Bearish iBOS on 4hTF

🔎 Setup Consideration

• Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish OB + SZ reaction.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias shifted bearish for the 4h TF at least. The price consolidates near the current zone, and after a fake bullish breakout where the liquidity swept, returns to the downtrend with volume confirmation.

📌 Related Analyses

• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

GER30 Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for GER30. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The GER30 closed last week on a bullish note following stronger than expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains neutral as markets await the upcoming release of US CPI and US PPI figures.

📈 Technical Overview

• Market Structure: Consolidation

• Supply & Demand: ------------ 

• Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium

• Liquidity: Grab liquidity from BSLQ but there is a lot of Inducement (4h TF)

• Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Not at this moment 

🔎 Setup Considerations

• A consolidation between the 2 fractal points.

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week . If price consolidates near the current zone, just like this moment, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

EURUSD remains in a downtrend, supporting the bullish momentum on GER30. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD Indicies.

📌 Related Analyses

• Gold Weekly Outlook
• BTCUSD Weekly Outlook
• EURUSD Weekly Overview

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.