At Stairway To Profit, we go beyond basic trading tips. Each week, we publish actionable analysis on major markets like EUR/USD, XAU/USD (Gold), Indices (GER30, US100), and Crypto (BTC/USD).

Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

New to the blog? Explore our dedicated pages for: Forex, Indices, Crypto, or check the Terms of Use.

Trump Tariffs Are Back: What It Means for Markets in 2025

Trump's New Tariff Strategy in 2025 In a move that echoes his first term in office, former President Donald Trump has reintroduced a ne...

2025/05/25

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

XAU/USD Daily and 4H Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • Like the EUR, gold also saw significant gains last week. We expect it to continue its upward trend as a haven for investors in uncertain times. A small correction after Friday's BOS and a repricing to 50% (Equilibrium - 3,3220) of the Dealing Range (DRH ----> DRL) is very likely.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish untill reach and break it out the 3,435 level. Beyond that level gold returns to bullish trend continuation. 

  • Supply & Demand: Price is in Supply Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Minor BSLQ on a Daily TF
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS on a 4h TF (BOS). A re-pricing at the 3,322 level is therefore more likely to occur.

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A pullback to the discount level, or at least to the equilibrium level, would be more prudent for long positions.

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bullish setup with FVG rejection and fractal BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

In general, we are in a bullish pullback phase until the price reaches the 3,435 level. If the price breaks through this level, we'll talk about a bullish continuation of the trend on a daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish trend on XAU/USD. 

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

EUR/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/26

EUR/USD Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/26

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for EUR/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The EUR/USD closed with significant gains on mixed economic news from the US and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve that it is very likely that companies will face shocks of  goods in their warehouses as a result of the tariffs. Cargo container arrivals from China have already fallen by 60%.

This was reflected in the pressure on the dollar throughout the week.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bullish on Daily and 4h TF
  • Supply & Demand: Supply 
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium
  • Liquidity: Equal Highs (EQH) 
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: There is no sign of Market Structure Shift for the moment.  

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • From inuficiency (FVG) to liquidity (EQH) or the opposite. Liquidity swept allready and then the price rebalinced the FVG (1h TF). If the price continue to take liquidity from EQLHs with volume then maby the pair go to bullish continuation. EQLHs sweping without confirmation could make EURUSD retern to a bearish trend. 

EUR/USD 4H - 1H Chart –

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week unless price break EQLHs cleanly and holds with volume. If price will swep EQLHs and retern to downternd with volume, this will be possibly the start of bearish continuation on a Daily TF.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a long-term downtrend, supporting the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 

DXY chart showing bearish momentum and impact on EUR/USD bullish bias

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.