At Stairway To Profit, we go beyond basic trading tips. Each week, we publish actionable analysis on major markets like EUR/USD, XAU/USD (Gold), Indices (GER30, US100), and Crypto (BTC/USD).

Our focus is on market structure, liquidity-based setups, and multi-timeframe execution, backed by weekly macroeconomic context such as CPI, NFP, FOMC, and ECB updates.

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2025/05/12

GER30 Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

GER30 Daily & 4h Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for GER30. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

The GER30 closed last week on a bullish note following stronger than expected US NFP data and unchanged Unemployment Rate - Federal Funds Rate. Risk sentiment remains neutral as markets await the upcoming release of US CPI and US PPI figures.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Consolidation

  • Supply & Demand: ------------ 

  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium

  • Liquidity: Grab liquidity from BSLQ but there is a lot of Inducement (4h TF)

  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: Not at this moment 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • A consolidation between the 2 fractal points.

GER30 1H Chart

💡 Strategy Bias

Our bias remains neutral for the week . If price consolidates near the current zone, just like this moment, breakout setups will be invalidated.

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

EURUSD remains in a downtrend, supporting the bullish momentum on GER30. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD Indicies.

trading view chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.

2025/05/11

XAU/USD Weekly Pre-Session Analysis | 2025/05/13

XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Chart – 2025/05/13

Welcome to this week’s pre-session analysis for XAU/USD. In this outlook, we’ll break down current technical conditions, price structure, liquidity zones, and potential trading opportunities. This format suits swing or intraday traders planning ahead of the Monday open.

📌 Weekly Context & Market Drivers

  • It may be worthwhile to look at the weekly chart, which shows that the precious metal closed under pressure from sellers following last week's good dollar results.
  • Also worth noting is the bullish FVG below the FL+ Daily SZ, which gives us the idea that it would be a good point for buyers to counterattack after the rebalancing.

📈 Technical Overview

  • Market Structure: Bearish (Pull Back on a Daily and 4h TF)

  • Supply & Demand: Price is between Supply And Demand Zone
  • Fibo Levels / Premium-Discount: Premium 
  • Liquidity: Fractal Low
  • Fractal Structure Shift / CHoCH: MS shift on a daily TF (iBOS) 

🔎 Setup Considerations

  • Entry trigger: confirmation via 1H bearish BOS below fractal low + FVG reaction

XAU/USD 1H Chart – bearish setup with FVG rejection and fractal low BOS

💡 Strategy Bias 

As we said, we are in a bearish pullback phase, and at this moment, there are no signs of a reversal. However, we are always on the lookout for signs of MS shift as well as price entries in ZOI.  

🌍 Cross-Asset Correlation

DXY remains in a short-term uptrend, supporting the bearish pressure on XAU/USD. US10Y yields have also ticked higher, indicating increased USD demand.

DXY chart

📌 Related Analyses

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.